New Mexico State vs Idaho 10/23/2010

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Idaho is a heavy favorite winning 86% of simulations over New Mexico State. Nathan Enderle is averaging 303 passing yards and 2.8 TDs per simulation and Princeton McCarty is projected for 66 rushing yards and a 52% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 14% of simulations where New Mexico State wins, Matt Christian averages 1.4 TD passes vs 0.37 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.61 TDs to 0.47 interceptions. Seth Smith averages 80 rushing yards and 0.7 rushing TDs when New Mexico State wins and 70 yards and 0.4 TDs in losses. Idaho has a 38% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 95% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ID -22.5

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